--> Dynamics of the Sun-Earth Climate System, by Arthur R. Green; #90038 (2005)
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Dynamics of the Sun-Earth Previous HitClimateNext Hit System

Arthur R. Green, Geoscientist, Retired from Exxon-Mobil Exploration Company, Houston, TX

The Previous HitclimateNext Hit of planet Earth is in a continuous state of either cooling or warming as the elegant sun-earth Previous HitclimateNext Hit system equilibrates the surface temperature within a range of 16°C.

We are currently living in a not-yet-completed interglacial stage, and we are experiencing a minor warming trend. Glacial periods tend to have more rapid Previous HitclimateNext Hit changes. In the last 15,000 years, there have been two types of Previous HitclimateNext Hit change: (1) moderate and gradual, and (2) major and abrupt.

The last decade of Previous HitclimateNext Hit research has taught us what we don't know and has revealed that we are only at the beginning of the learning curve. "We do not understand the fundamentals of abrupt Previous HitclimateNext Hit change well enough to predict them" (NRC Abrupt Previous HitClimateNext Hit Change, 2002).

The models used to project future Previous HitclimateNext Hit changes and their importance are at an early stage of development. Because forward modeling is so complex, geologic science has a unique role in understanding the processes of Previous HitclimateNext Hit change. Geology is the only discipline that routinely works backward in time to unravel facts and interactions of natural processes. Paleoclimatic rock and ice records show that large Previous HitclimateNext Hit changes have occurred on our planet throughout its history. These changes appear to be caused by the equilibrating interactions of a large number of drivers both internal to the planet as well as external solar forces.

The deep difficulty of conducting Previous HitclimateNext Hit and global change research is that it requires the non-linear complex integration of a wide spectrum of the sciences: meteorology, physics, chemistry, geology, botany, biology, mathematics, and sophisticated computer modeling.

Previous HitClimateNext Hit is not weather - it is infinitely more complex, and mature scientific analysis may be non-intuitive.

The last 17,000 years of ice core records coupled with the events of ancient history chronicle a fascinating story of human progress and adaptability. During this period, the Earth's Previous HitclimateNext Hit varied as ice at the poles waxed and waned and sea levels rose and fell. The flooding and retreat of the seas along coastal zones and the advance and retreat of glaciers created migration paths for animal populations and man. The migrating and mixing of peoples, the growth of agriculture, the domestication of animals, and the establishment of the world's ancient cities were all influenced by the rhythms of the planet's changing Previous HitclimateTop.

Copyright © 2005. The American Association of Petroleum Geologists. All Rights Reserved